STI whipsawed throughout February and ended the month with a slight gain of 1.6%. The overall market seems well supported at this current level. The decline in the US market towards the end of the month due to fear of a run off in inflation (or whatever else it may be could also have cause a sell off in an extreme overheated market) also put pressure on the Singapore stock market.
STI ETF (SGX:ES3) which is the benchmark I use to compare against gained +0.34% in February. Despite the tepid market condition, my SG portfolio managed to gain +4.25%. Year-to-date return rose to +6.71%. Due to the risk of an overextended market in US, the SG portfolio is keeping around 50% cash for most part of February so it is good that the system is still able to generate a 4% gain.
Total return since inception (June 2016) is now +83.92% while ES3 gained merely +18.61% (incl dividend) for the same period.
February return: +4.25% (vs ES3: +0.34%)
YTD return: +6.71% (vs ES3: +1.37%)
YTD return: +6.71% (vs ES3: +1.37%)
Total return since inception (since June 2016): +83.92% (vs ES3: +18.61%)
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The US market has been overheated for a while and we can see some cracks appearing. Sell off happens for whatever reasons (rising yield, lack of stimulus, new strand of COVID-19 etc) I see it as investors taking profit in an overextended bull run. As long as the stimulus keeps coming, it will help support the US market. SG market will also benefit from a well supported US market.
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